19 Aug · 22:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zajicek
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1464
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Kratochvil covers set handicap as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.