19 Aug · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1466
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1526
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 74% (35)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)