19 Aug · 22:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cvecek
ELO 1457
FormLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cvecek
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1375
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Cvecek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)