19 Aug · 23:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1557
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Barsa
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1489
FormWWWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H16-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)