19 Aug · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1344
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1471
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolik🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 64% (122)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H32-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-16)