19 Aug · 22:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1529
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Zeman
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1389
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H100-74
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (100-74)