19 Aug · 22:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1351
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klusacek
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1359
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klusacek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H10-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.