19 Aug · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1351
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cvecek
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cvecek
ELO 1457
FormLLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Cvecek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)