20 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sevecek
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1476
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jemelka🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (25)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.