20 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1702
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benak
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1642
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (34)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H19-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)