20 Aug · 08:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jemelka
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1476
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Jemelka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.