20 Aug · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1518
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mandrysz
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1457
FormWWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 72% (71)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H29-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-25)