20 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1702
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1715
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benak🌟Benak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H11-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.