20 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1554
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osmera
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (131)
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)