20 Aug · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1440
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1509
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (84)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)