20 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1702
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benak
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1614
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (34)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)