20 Aug · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1523
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lasota
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1473
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 74% (35)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.