20 Aug · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1492
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1550
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 62% (87)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)