20 Aug · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SV
🇨🇿Stepan Vyskocil
ELO 1579
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vyskocil
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1564
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.