20 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1523
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1582
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H28-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-25)