20 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budik
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 82% (50)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H16-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.