20 Aug · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slivka
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1462
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.