20 Aug · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1458
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Hons covers set handicap as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.