20 Aug · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Baros
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1470
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Baros stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.