20 Aug · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1515
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1655
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H126-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (126-55)