20 Aug · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1458
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1577
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)