20 Aug · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1459
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slivka
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.