20 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1525
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1577
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H31-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.