21 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1454
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (71)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)