21 Aug · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1630
FormWLLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)