21 Aug · 09:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1454
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1587
FormWLWLL
39%
61%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)