21 Aug · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1483
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1512
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.