21 Aug · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kanak
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1437
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 16% (25)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)