21 Aug · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1630
FormWLLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H35-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-19)