21 Aug · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1587
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
56%
44%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 62% (90)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H13-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)