21 Aug · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1632
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)