21 Aug · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1534
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 62% (90)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.