21 Aug · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (143)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H60-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.