21 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1534
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1587
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.