20 Aug · 22:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1660
2-3Final setsKocab won
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1630
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Cerny at 54%. The actual result was Jan Kocab 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Cerny favoured — closing 1.44
Total 73.5
87 points played
Set handicap
Cerny −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Cerny −6.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.36
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Cerny is favoured to win, below means Jan Kocab.
▲ Martin Cernypre 58% → final 0%
Jan Kocab ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsKocab recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games