21 Aug · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Marek Hluchy
ELO 1512
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1575
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hluchy🌟Hluchy covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)