21 Aug · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1608
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krenek
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1587
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (74)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.