21 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1573
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H48-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.