21 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vosyka
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1579
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Lovl covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H13-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.