21 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1515
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1608
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (74)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H26-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-24)