21 Aug · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1579
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vosyka
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1514
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)