21 Aug · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1621
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1523
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H33-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-23)