21 Aug · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1572
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bartik
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1685
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
🌟Bartik goes over total as favourite 67% (27)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H14-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)