21 Aug · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1555
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Skulina stays under total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)