21 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1610
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krenek
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1505
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (75)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)